Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 35.656439 40.571092 45.944240 52.259184 59.483884 67.498467 77.073523
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 30.972060 37.953682 46.190230 56.643255 69.584804 85.119001 105.237176
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 26.723776 35.020431 45.508124 59.785446 78.791672 103.329507 137.586124
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 23.923919 33.396122 46.176392 64.773977 91.307678 128.046115 183.197568
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 20.832521 30.851729 45.222468 67.492113 101.422887 151.643264 232.472466
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 17.580431 27.508768 42.585546 67.370175 107.547145 170.892023 279.847257
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 15.113695 24.909398 40.609627 67.909057 114.860587 193.513988 337.757415
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 13.659321 23.666420 40.562887 71.585805 128.107419 228.580453 424.839340
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 12.527272 22.764382 40.930998 76.075391 143.765612 271.207797 535.922476
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 11.183606 21.246179 39.953035 77.962459 155.108868 308.473095 646.217098
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 9.706241 19.215304 37.673796 76.935892 160.633862 335.755492 743.337353
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 8.439989 17.371975 35.434331 75.563154 165.209989 362.195716 845.717748
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 7.475699 16.007579 33.993938 75.770272 173.685518 399.959178 986.771425
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 6.745251 15.009975 33.154750 77.173806 185.327112 447.995415 1167.353862
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 6.037109 13.934566 31.956333 77.534745 194.702093 493.212090 1355.002315
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.607629 13.422656 31.956570 80.822274 212.274949 563.717941 1633.945287
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 5.084919 12.592562 31.051744 81.662958 223.769917 621.437634 1895.494756
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 4.480245 11.449274 29.166088 79.539836 226.737954 656.601652 2101.027988
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 4.016693 10.583639 27.831196 78.646575 233.066963 703.366625 2359.922720
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 3.772529 10.256565 27.864917 81.676723 251.946635 793.558636 2797.078680
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 3.588536 10.061486 28.227816 85.789039 275.366546 905.035628 3351.083458
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 3.322340 9.585081 27.707196 87.096597 290.158173 992.517622 3849.580431
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 2.989220 8.853172 26.305154 85.303787 294.135632 1044.124768 4228.628711